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International publications -- BY CATEGORY:
(Note: all preprints are pdf's - If you can't read pdf-files go here.
The published papers may be slightly different. For proper reprints mail me).
[Listing by YEAR] [Listing by TOPIC]
[population cycles] [spatial dynamics] [age-/stage- structure]
[infectious disease] [masting] [population genetics]
[rodent ecology] [insect dynamics] [fish dynamics]
[time series analysis] [spatial statistics]
Note: each paper typically appears in several
categories.
POPULATION CYCLES
- King, A.A., Shrestha, S.,
Harvill, E.T. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2009 Evolution of acute infections and
the invasion-persistence trade-off. American Naturalist 173:446-455 [pdf]
- Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F., Conlan,
A.J.K., Bharti, N., Bjornstad, O.N., Wolfson, L.J., Guerin, P.J., Djibo,
A. and Grenfell, B.T. 2008. Seasonality, stochasticity and the dynamics of
measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature 451: 679-684. [abstract][pdf][supplement]
- Johnson, D.M., Liebhold,
A.M., Tobin, P.C and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Allee effects and pulsed
invasion by the gypsy moth. Nature 444: 361-363. [abstract] [pdf]
[supplement]
- Johnson, D.M., Liebhold, A.M.
and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Geographical variation in the periodicity of
gypsy moth outbreaks. Ecography 29:367-374. [abstract] [pdf]
- Johnson, D.M., Bjørnstad,
O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2006. Landscape mosaic induces traveling waves of
insect outbreaks. Oecologia 148: 51-60. [abstract] [pdf]
- Økland, B., and Bjørnstad,
O.N. 2005. A resource depletion model of forest insect outbreaks. Ecology
87: 283-290. [abstract] [pdf]
- Johnson, D.M., Liebhold,
A.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and McManus, M.L. 2005. Circumpolar variation in
periodicity and synchrony among gypsy moth populations. Journal of Animal
Ecology 74:882-892 [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Nisbet, R.
M. and Fromentin, J.-M. 2004. Trends and cohort resonant effects in
age-structured populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 73: 1157-1167 [abstract] [pdf] [mathematica supplement]
- Johnson, D. M., Bjørnstad, O.
N. and Liebhold, A. M. 2004. Landscape geometry and traveling waves in the
larch budmoth. Ecology Letters 7: 967-974. [abstract]
[pdf] [supplement]
- Xia, Y., Bjørnstad, O. N. and
Grenfell, B. T. 2004. Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model for
pre-vaccination epidemiological coupling and dynamics. American Naturalist
164: 267-281. [abstract] [pdf] [news@nature.com]
- Hudson, P.J. & Bjørnstad, O.N. (2003) Vole stranglers and
lemmings cycles. Science 302: 797-798. [pdf] [Gilg et al].
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Peltonen,
M., Liebhold, A.M. & Baltensweiler, W. (2002) Waves of larch budmoth
outbreaks in the European alps. Science 298: 1020-1023. [abstract
& pdf] [full-text
(html)] [mirrored abstract] [mirrored pdf] [supplement] [commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N. &
Grenfell, B.T. (2001) Noisy clockwork: time series analysis of population
fluctuations in animals. Science 293: 638-643. [abstract
& pdf] [full-text
(html)] [Supplement] [mirrored pdf] [mirrored
supplement]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Sait, S.M.,
Stenseth, N.C., Thompson, D.J. & Begon, M. (2001) The impact of
specialised enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 401:
1001-1006. [abstract] [pdf] [Supplement]
[Splus code] [Commentary]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
O.N., & Kappey, J. (2001) Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in
measles epidemics. Nature 414: 716-723. [abstract]
[pdf] [quicktime
movie] [supplement] [Commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Finkenstädt,
B. & Grenfell, B.T. (2002) Endemic and epidemic dynamics of measles:
Estimating epidemiological scaling with a time series SIR model. Ecological
Monographs 72: 169-184. [abstract]
[pdf] [download
data]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
O.N., & Finkenstädt, B. & (2002) Endemic and epidemic
dynamics of measles: Scaling predictability, noise and determinism with
the time series SIR model. Ecological Monographs 72: 185-202.
[abstract] [pdf]
[download data]
- Bjørnstad, O. N. (2000)
Cycles and synchrony: two historical ‘experiments’ and one experience.
Journal of Animal Ecology 69: 869-873. [abstract]
[pdf] [erratum]
- Childs, J.E. , Curns, A.,
Dey, M., Real, L.A. , Feinstein, L., Bjørnstad, O.N. & Krebs, J.W.
(2000) Predicting the local dynamics of epizootic rabies among raccoons in
the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA
97: 13666–13671 [abstract] [pdf] [Commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Fromentin,
J.-M., Stenseth, N. C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) Cycles and trends in cod
population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA
96:5066-5071. [abstract] [pdf]
- Stenseth, N.C., Bjørnstad,
O.N., Falck, W., Fromentin, J.-M., Gjøsæter, J., and Gray, J.S. (1999)
Dynamics of coastal cod populations: intra- and inter-cohort
density-dependence and stochastic processes. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B 266:1645-1654. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Begon, M.,
Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W., Sait, S. M. and Thompson, D. J. (1998)
Population dynamics of the Indian meal moth: demographic stochasticity and
delayed regulatory mechanisms. Journal of Animal Ecology
67:110-126. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Stenseth,
N. C., Saitoh, T. and Lingjære, O. C. (1998) Mapping regional transitions
in dynamics of Clethrionomys rufocanus: spectral densities and
functional analysis. Researches on Population Ecology 40:77-84. [abstract] [preprint
0.2Mb] [reprint 7.2Mb]
- Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad,
O. N. and Saitoh, T. (1998) Seasonal Forcing on the Dynamics of Clethrionomys
rufocanus: Modeling the Geographic Gradient in Population Dynamics. Researches
on Population Ecology 40:85-95. [abstract]
[preprint 0.2Mb] [reprint 9Mb] [commentary]
- Kendall, B. E., Prendergast,
J. and Bjørnstad, O. N. (1998) The macroecology of population dynamics:
animal population cycles in the Northern hemisphere. Ecology Letters 1:160-164.
[abstract] [pdf]
[supplement].
- Stenseth, N.C., Falck, W.,
Chan, K.-C., Bjørnstad, O.N., Tong, H., O'Donoghue, M., Boonstra, R.,
Boutin, S., Krebs, C. J. and Yoccoz, N. G. (1998) From pattern to process:
phase- and density-dependence in the canadian lynx cycle. Proceedings
of the National Academy of Science USA 95:15430-15435. [abstract] [pdf]
- Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W.,
Bjørnstad, O.N. and Krebs, C. J. (1997) Population regulation in snowshoe
hare and lynx populations: asymmetric food web configurations between the
snowshoe hare and the lynx. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Science USA, 94:5147-5152. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Champely,
S., Stenseth, N. C. and Saitoh, T. (1996) Cyclicity and stability of
grey-sided voles, Clethrionomys rufocanus, of Hokkaido: spectral
and Principal components analyses. Philosophical Transactions of the
Royal Society London Series B 351:867-875. [abstract]
[pdf 1.5Mb] [economy
pdf 0.4Mb]
- Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad,
O.N. and Falck, W. (1996) Is spacing behaviour coupled with predation
causing the microtine density cycle? A synthesis of current
process-oriented and pattern-oriented studies. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 263:1423-1435. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad,
O.N. and Saitoh, T. (1996) A gradient from stable to cyclic populations of
Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 263:1117-1126. [abstract]
[pdf 1.7Mb] [economy pdf 0.5Mb] [commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Falck, W.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) A geographic gradient in small rodent density
fluctuations: a statistical modelling approach. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 262:127-133. [abstract]
[pdf 1.3Mb] [economy pdf 0.4Mb]
- Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Bootstrap estimated uncertainty of the dominant
Lyapunov exponent for Holarctic microtine rodents. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 261:159-165. [abstract]
[pdf 1.2Mb] [economy
0.4Mb]
- Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Voles and lemmings - chaos and uncertainty in
fluctuating populations. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B.
262:363-370. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb][economy
0.4Mb] [commentary]
SPATIAL DYNAMICS
- Tobin, P.C., Robinet, C.,
Johnson, D.M., Whitmire, S.L., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2009.
The role of Allee effects in gypsy moth, Lymantria dispar (L.), invasions.
Population Ecology 51: 373-384. [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Liebhold,
A.M. and Johnson, D.M. 2008. Transient synchronization following invasion:
revisiting Moran’s model and a case study. Population Ecology 50: 379-389.
[pdf]
- Yamanaka, T., Tanaka, K,,
Hamasaki, K., Nakatani, Y., Iwasaki, N., Sprague, D.S. and Bjørnstad, O.N.
2009. Evaluating the relative importance of patch quality and connectivity
in a damselfly metapopulation from a one-season survey. Oikos 118:67-76. [pdf]
- Bharti,
N., Xia, Y., Bjornstad, O.N. and Grenfell, B.T. 2008. Measles on the Edge:
Coastal Heterogeneities and Infection Dynamics. PLoS ONE 3(4):
e1941 [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N. and Grenfell,
B.T. 2008. Hazards, spatial transmission and timing of outbreaks in
epidemic metapopulations. Environmental and Ecological Statistics
15: 265-277. [pdf]
- Satake, A. and Bjørnstad,
O.N. 2008. A resource budget model to explain intraspecific variation in
mast reproductive dynamics. Ecological research 23: 3-10. [abstract][pdf]
- Yamanaka, T., Tanaka, K.
Otuka, A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2007. Detecting spatial structures and
interactions in the ragweed (Ambrosia artemissifolia L.) and the ragweed
beetle (Ophraella communa LeSage) populations. [abstract][pdf]
- Tobin, P.C., Whitmire, S.,
Johnson, D.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2007. Invasion speed is
affected by geographic variation in the strength of Allee effects. Ecology
Letters 10:36-43. [abstract] [pdf]
- Johnson, D.M., Liebhold,
A.M., Tobin, P.C and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Allee effects and pulsed invasion
by the gypsy moth. Nature 444: 361-363. [abstract]
[pdf] [supplement]
- Ferrari, M., Bjørnstad, O.N.,
Partain, J. and Antonovics, J. 2006. A gravity model for the spread of a
pollinator-borne plant pathogen. American Naturalist 168: 294-303. [abstract] [pdf]
- Viboud, C., Bjørnstad, O.N.,
Smith, D.L., Simonsen, L., Miller, M.A. and Grenfell, B.T. 2006.
Synchrony, waves and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza.
Science 312: 447-451. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement] [comment]
- Liebhold, A.M, Johnson, D.M.
and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Geographic variation in density-dependent
dynamics impacts the synchronizing effect of dispersal and regional
stochasticity. Population Ecology 48:131-138. [abstract][pdf]
- Johnson, D.M., Bjørnstad,
O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2006. Landscape mosaic induces traveling waves of
insect outbreaks. Oecologia 148: 51-60. [abstract] [pdf]
- Tobin, P.C. and Bjørnstad,
O.N. 2005. Roles of dispersal, stochasticity, and nonlinear dynamics in the
spatial structuring of seasonal natural enemy-victim populations.
Population Ecology 47:221-227. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Økland, B., Liebhold, A.M,
Bjørnstad, O.N., Erbilgin, N. and Krokene, P. 2005. Are bark beetle
outbreaks less synchronous than forest Lepidoptera outbreaks? Oecologia
146:365-372. [abstract] [pdf]
- Humston, R., Mortensen, D.
and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Anthropogenic forcing on the spatial dynamics of
an agricultural weed: the case of the common sunflower. Journal of Applied
Ecology 42: 863-872. [abstract] [pdf]
- Johnson, D.M., Liebhold,
A.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and McManus, M.L. 2005. Circumpolar variation in
periodicity and synchrony among gypsy moth populations. Journal of Animal
Ecology 74:882-892 [abstract] [pdf]
- Seabloom, E.W., Bjørnstad,
O.N., Bolker, B.M. and Reichman, O.J. 2005. The spatial signature of
environmental heterogeneity, dispersal, and competition in successional
grasslands. Ecological Monographs 75: 199-214. [abstract][pdf]
- Zhou, G., Sirichaisinthop,
J., Sattabongkot, J., Jones, J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Yan, G. and Cui, L.
2005. Spatio-temporal distribution of falciparum and vivax malaria in
Thailand. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 72: 256-262. [abstract] [pdf]
- Johnson, D. M., Bjørnstad, O.
N. and Liebhold, A. M. 2004. Landscape geometry and traveling waves in the
larch budmoth. Ecology Letters 7: 967-974. [abstract]
[pdf] [supplement]
- Liebhold, A., Walter, D. K.
and Bjørnstad, O. N. 2004. Spatial synchrony in population dynamics.
Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 35: 467-490. [abstract] [pdf] [supplemental movie]
- Xia, Y., Bjørnstad, O. N.
and Grenfell, B. T. 2004. Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model
for pre-vaccination epidemiological coupling and dynamics. American Naturalist
164: 267-281. [abstract] [pdf] [news@nature.com]
- Keeling, M. J., Bjørnstad,
O. N. and Grenfell, B. T. 2004. Metapopulation dynamics of infectious
diseases. pp. 415-445 in I. Hanski, and O. Gaggiotti, eds., Ecology,
Genetics, and Evolution of Metapopulations [preprint]
- Satake, A., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Kobro. S. 2004. Masting and trophic cascades: interplay between rowan
trees, apple fruit moth, and their parasitoid in southern Norway. Oikos 104: 540-550. [abstract] [pdf]
- Satake, A. and Bjørnstad,
O.N. 2004. Spatial dynamics of seed predators on synchronized and
intermittent seed production of host plants. American Naturalist 163: 591-605. [abstract] [pdf]
- Økland, B. and Bjørnstad, O.
N. (2003) Synchrony and geographical variation of the spruce bark beetle
(Ips typographus) during a non-epidemic period. Population Ecology 45:
213-219 [abstract] [pdf].
- Liebhold, A., Sork, V.,
Peltonen, M., Koenig, W., Bjørnstad, O.N., Westfall, R., Elkinton, J.,
& Knops, J.M.H. 2004. Within-population spatial synchrony in mast
seeding of North American oaks. Oikos 104: 156-164. [abstract][pdf]
- Tobin, P. C. & Bjørnstad, O.N. (2003) Spatial dynamics and
cross-correlation in a transient predator-prey system, Journal of
Animal Ecology 72: 460-467. [abstract][pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Peltonen,
M., Liebhold, A.M. & Baltensweiler, W. (2002) Waves of larch budmoth
outbreaks in the European alps. Science 298: 1020-1023. [abstract
& pdf] [full-text
(html)] [mirrored abstract] [mirrored pdf] [supplement] [commentary]
- Rees, M., Kelly, D. &
Bjørnstad, O.N. (2002) Snow tussocks, chaos and the evolution of mast
seeding. American Naturalist 160: 44-59. [abstract] [pdf]
[commentary]
- Peltonen, M., Liebhold,
A.M., Bjørnstad, O.N., & Williams, D.W. (2002) Variation in spatial
synchrony among forest insect species: roles of regional stochasticity and
dispersal. Ecology 83: 3120-3129 [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N. &
Bascompte, J. (2001) Synchrony and second order spatial correlation in
host-parasitoid systems. Journal of Animal Ecology 70: 924-933. [abstract] [pdf]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
O.N., & Kappey, J. (2001) Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in
measles epidemics. Nature 414: 716-723. [abstract]
[pdf] [quicktime
movie] [supplement] [Commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N. and Bolker,
B. (2000) Canonical functions for dispersal-induced synchrony. Proceedings
of Royal Society London, B. 267: 1787-1794.[abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N. (2000) Cycles
and synchrony: two historical ‘experiments’ and one experience. Journal of
Animal Ecology 69: 869-873. [abstract]
[pdf] [erratum]
- Kendall, B. E., Bjørnstad,
O. N., Bascompte, J., Keitt, T.H. and Fagan, W. (2000) Ecological
interactions, environmental correlation and spatial synchrony. American
Naturalist 155: 628-636. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Ims, R. A.
and Lambin, X. (1999) Spatial population dynamics: Causes and consequences
of spatial synchrony in density fluctuations. Trends in Ecology and
Evolution 14:427-431. [abstract]
[pdf] [Splus code]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Stenseth,
N. C. and Saitoh,T. (1999) Synchrony and scaling in dynamics of voles and
mice in northern Japan. Ecology 80:622-637. [abstract] [pdf]
[Splus code]
- Framstad, E., Stenseth, N.
C., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Falck, W. (1997) Limit cycles in Norwegian
Lemmings: tensions between phase-dependence and density-dependence. Proceedings
of Royal Society London, B. 264:31-38. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb] [economy
pdf 0.4Mb]
AGE-/STAGE- STRUCTURE
- Cornell, S.J., Bjornstad,
O.N., Cattadori, I.M., Boag, B. and Hudson, P.J. 2008. Seasonality,
cohort-dependence and the development of immunity in a natural
host-nematode system. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series
B 275: 511-518. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement]
- Cattadori, I.M., Boag, B.,
Bjørnstad, O.N., Cornell, S.J. and Hudson, P.J. 2005. Peak shift and epidemiology
in a seasonal host-nematode system. Proceedings of the Royal Society of
London Series B 272: 1163-1169. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Nisbet, R.
M. and Fromentin, J.-M. 2004. Trends and cohort resonant effects in
age-structured populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 73: 1157-1167 [abstract] [pdf] [mathematica supplement]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Sait, S.M.,
Stenseth, N.C., Thompson, D.J. & Begon, M. (2001) The impact of
specialised enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 401:
1001-1006. [abstract] [pdf] [Supplement]
[Splus code] [Commentary]
- Fromentin, J.-M., Myers, R.
A., Bjørnstad, O. N., Stenseth, N. C., Gjøsæter, J. & Christie, H.
(2001) Population regulation in cod along the Norwegian Skagerrak coast. Ecology
82: 567-579. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Fromentin,
J.-M., Stenseth, N.C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) A new test for
density-dependent survival: the case of coastal cod populations Ecology
80:1278-1288. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Fromentin,
J.-M., Stenseth, N. C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) Cycles and trends in cod
population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA
96:5066-5071. [abstract] [pdf]
- Stenseth, N.C., Bjørnstad, O.N.,
Falck, W., Fromentin, J.-M., Gjøsæter, J., and Gray, J.S. (1999) Dynamics
of coastal cod populations: intra- and inter-cohort density-dependence and
stochastic processes. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B
266:1645-1654. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Begon, M.,
Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W., Sait, S. M. and Thompson, D. J. (1998)
Population dynamics of the Indian meal moth: demographic stochasticity and
delayed regulatory mechanisms. Journal of Animal Ecology
67:110-126. [abstract] [pdf]
INFECTIOUS DISEASE
- King, A.A., Shrestha, S.,
Harvill, E.T. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2009 Evolution of acute infections and
the invasion-persistence trade-off. American Naturalist 173:446-455 [pdf]
- Bharti, N., Xia, Y., Bjornstad, O.N. and Grenfell, B.T. 2008.
Measles on the Edge: Coastal Heterogeneities and Infection Dynamics. PLoS
ONE 3(4): e1941 [pdf]
- Restif, O., Wolfe, D.N.,
Goebel, E.M., Bjornstad, O.N., and Harvill, E.T. 2008. Of mice and men: asymmetric
interactions between Bordetella pathogen species. Parasitology
135:1517-1529. [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N. and
Grenfell, B.T. 2008. Hazards, spatial transmission and timing of outbreaks
in epidemic metapopulations. Environmental and Ecological Statistics
15: 265-277. [pdf]
- Cornell, S.J., Bjornstad,
O.N., Cattadori, I.M., Boag, B. and Hudson, P.J. 2008. Seasonality,
cohort-dependence and the development of immunity in a natural
host-nematode system. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series
B 275: 511-518. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement]
- Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F.,
Conlan, A.J.K., Bharti, N., Bjornstad, O.N., Wolfson, L.J., Guerin, P.J.,
Djibo, A. and Grenfell, B.T. 2008. Seasonality, stochasticity and the
dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature 451: 679-684. [abstract][pdf][supplement]
- Pomeroy, L.W., Bjornstad,
O.N. and Holmes, E.C. 2008. The evolutionary and epidemiological dynamics
of the Paramyxoviridae. Journal of Molecular Evolution 66:98-106 [abstract][pdf]
- Grais, R.F., Conlan, A.J.K.,
Ferrari, M.J., Djibo, A., Le Menach, A., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Grenfell,
B.T., 2008. Time is of the essence: Exploring a measles outbreak response
vaccination in Niamey, Niger. Journal of the Royal Society Interface
5:67-74. [abstract][pdf]
- Wolfe, D.N., Goebel, E.M.,
Bjornstad, O.N., Restif, O. and Harvill, E.T. 2007. O-antigen enables
Bordetella parapertussis to avoid Bordetella pertussis-Induced Immunity.
Infection and Immunity 75: 4972-4979. [abstract][pdf]
- Graham, A.L., Cattadori,
I.M., Lloyd-Smith, J.O, Ferrari, M.J. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2007.
Transmission consequences of coinfection: cytokines writ large? Trends in
Parasitology 23: 284-291. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Viboud, C., Miller, M.A.,
Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Simonsen, L. 2006. Air Travel and the
Spread of Influenza: Important Caveats. PloS Medicine 3: 2159-2960. [abstract] [pdf]
- Ferrari, M., Bjørnstad,
O.N., Partain, J. and Antonovics, J. 2006. A gravity model for the spread
of a pollinator-borne plant pathogen. American Naturalist 168: 294-303. [abstract] [pdf]
- Grais, R.F., Ferrari, M.J.,
Dubraya, C., Bjørnstad, O.N., Grenfell, B.T., Djiboc, A., Fermond, F. and
Guerina, P. J. 2006. Estimating transmission intensity for a measles
epidemic in Niamey, Niger: lessons for intervention. Transactions of the
Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 100: 867-873. [abstract] [pdf]
- Ferrari, M.J., Bansal, S.,
Myers, L.A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Network frailty and the geometry of
herd immunity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B 273:2743-2748.
[abstract] [pdf] [supplement]
[movie]
- Viboud, C., Bjørnstad,
O.N., Smith, D.L., Simonsen, L., Miller, M.A. and Grenfell, B.T. 2006.
Synchrony, waves and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza.
Science 312: 447-451. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement] [comment]
- Grenfell, B.T., Williams,
C.S., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Banavar, J.R. 2006. Simplifying biological
complexity. Nature Physics 2: 212-214. [abstract][pdf]
- Kirimanjeswara, G.S.,
Agosto, L.M., Kennett, M.J., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Harvill, E.T. 2005.
Pertussis toxin inhibits neutrophil recruitment to delay antibody-mediated
clearance of Bordetella pertussis. Journal of Clinical Investigation 115:
3594-3601. [abstract] [pdf]
- Cattadori, I.M., Boag, B.,
Bjørnstad, O.N., Cornell, S.J. and Hudson, P.J. 2005. Peak shift and
epidemiology in a seasonal host-nematode system. Proceedings of the Royal
Society of London Series B 272: 1163-1169. [abstract] [pdf]
- Ferrari, M. J. Bjørnstad,
O. N. and Dobson, A.P. 2005. Estimation and inference for R0 of an
infectious pathogen using a removal method. Mathematical Bioscience 198:
14-26. [abstract][pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N. and
Harvill, E.T. 2005. Evolution and emergence of Bordetella in humans.
Trends in Microbiology 13: 355-359 [abstract][pdf preprint]
- Grenfell, B.T. and
Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Sexually transmitted diseases: Epidemic cycling and
immunity. Nature 433: 366-367. [pdf]
[grassly et al]
- Zhou, G., Sirichaisinthop,
J., Sattabongkot, J., Jones, J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Yan, G. and Cui, L.
2005. Spatio-temporal distribution of falciparum and vivax malaria in
Thailand. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 72: 256-262. [abstract] [pdf]
- Xia, Y., Bjørnstad, O. N.
and Grenfell, B. T. 2004. Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model
for pre-vaccination epidemiological coupling and dynamics. American
Naturalist 164: 267-281. [abstract] [pdf] [news@nature.com]
- Keeling, M. J., Bjørnstad,
O. N. and Grenfell, B. T. 2004. Metapopulation dynamics of infectious
diseases. pp. 415-445 in I. Hanski, and O. Gaggiotti, eds., Ecology,
Genetics, and Evolution of Metapopulations [preprint]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Finkenstädt,
B. & Grenfell, B.T. (2002) Endemic and epidemic dynamics of measles:
Estimating epidemiological scaling with a time series SIR model. Ecological
Monographs 72: 169-184. [abstract]
[pdf] [download
data]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
O.N., & Finkenstädt, B. & (2002) Endemic and epidemic
dynamics of measles: Scaling predictability, noise and determinism with
the time series SIR model. Ecological Monographs 72: 185-202.
[abstract] [pdf]
[download data]
- Finkenstädt, B., Bjørnstad,
O.N. & Grenfell, B.T. (2002) A stochastic model for extinction and
recurrence of epidemics: estimation and inference for measles outbreaks. Biostatistics
3: 493-510. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Sait,
S.M., Stenseth, N.C., Thompson, D.J. & Begon, M. (2001) The impact of
specialised enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 401:
1001-1006. [abstract] [pdf] [Supplement]
[Splus code] [Commentary]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
O.N., & Kappey, J. (2001) Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in
measles epidemics. Nature 414: 716-723. [abstract]
[pdf] [quicktime
movie] [supplement] [Commentary]
- Wilson, K., O.N. Bjørnstad,
A.P. Dobson, S. Merler, G. Poglayen, S.E. Randolph, A.F. Read, and A.
Skorping (2001). Heterogeneities in macroparasite infections: patterns and
processes. Pages 6-44 in P. J. Hudson, A. Rizzoli, B.T. Grenfell, H.
Heesterbeek and A. P. Dobson, editors. The Ecology of Wildlife Diseases. [abstract] [preprint]
- Grenfell, B.T., W. Amos, P.
Arneberg, O.N. Bjørnstad, J.V. Greenman, J. Harwood, P. Lanfranchi, A. McLean,
R.A. Norman, A.F. Read, and A. Skorping (2002). Visions for future
research in wildlife epidemiology. Pages 151-164 in P. J. Hudson, A.
Rizzoli, B.T. Grenfell, H. Heesterbeek and A. P. Dobson, editors. The
Ecology of Wildlife Diseases.[abstract]
[preprint]
- Bjørnstad, O. N. (2000)
Cycles and synchrony: two historical ‘experiments’ and one experience.
Journal of Animal Ecology 69: 869-873. [abstract]
[pdf] [erratum]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Begon, M.,
Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W., Sait, S. M. and Thompson, D. J. (1998)
Population dynamics of the Indian meal moth: demographic stochasticity and
delayed regulatory mechanisms. Journal of Animal Ecology
67:110-126. [abstract] [pdf]
- Childs, J.E. , Curns, A.,
Dey, M., Real, L.A. , Feinstein, L., Bjørnstad, O.N. & Krebs, J.W.
(2000) Predicting the local dynamics of epizootic rabies among raccoons in
the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA
97: 13666–13671 [abstract] [pdf][Commentary]
MASTING
- Satake,
A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2008. A resource budget model to explain
intraspecific variation in mast reproductive dynamics. Ecological research
23: 3-10. [abstract][pdf]
- Satake,
A., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Kobro. S. 2004. Masting and trophic cascades:
interplay between rowan trees, apple fruit moth, and their parasitoid in
southern Norway. Oikos 104: 540-550.
[abstract] [pdf]
- Satake,
A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2004. Spatial dynamics of seed predators on
synchronized and intermittent seed production of host plants. American
Naturalist 163: 591-605. [abstract] [pdf]
- Liebhold, A., Sork, V.,
Peltonen, M., Koenig, W., Bjørnstad, O.N., Westfall, R., Elkinton, J.,
& Knops, J.M.H. 2004. Within-population spatial synchrony in mast
seeding of North American oaks. Oikos 104: 156-164. [abstract][pdf]
- Rees, M., Kelly, D. &
Bjørnstad, O.N. (2002) Snow tussocks, chaos and the evolution of mast
seeding. American Naturalist 160: 44-59. [abstract] [pdf]
[commentary]
POPULATION GENETICS
- Bjørnstad, O. N. and Falck,
W. (2001) Spatial covariance functions: estimation and testing. Environmental
and Ecological Statistics 8: 53-70. [abstract]
[pdf] [Splus code]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Iversen, A.
and Hansen, M. (1995) The spatial structure of the gene pool of a
viviparous population of Poa alpina - environmental controls and
spatial constraints. Nordic Journal of Botany 15:347-354. [abstract] [pdf]
RODENT ECOLOGY
- Hudson, P.J. & Bjørnstad, O.N. (2003) Vole stranglers and
lemmings cycles. Science 302: 797-798. [pdf] [Gilg et al].
- Bjørnstad, O. N. (2000)
Cycles and synchrony: two historical ‘experiments’ and one experience.
Journal of Animal Ecology 69: 869-873. [abstract]
[pdf] [erratum]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Stenseth,
N. C. and Saitoh,T. (1999) Synchrony and scaling in dynamics of voles and
mice in northern Japan. Ecology 80:622-637. [abstract] [pdf]
[Splus code]
- Saitoh, T., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1999) Density-dependence in voles and mice: a
comparative analysis. Ecology 80:638-650. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Andreassen,
H. P. and Ims, R. A. (1998) Effects of habitat patchiness and connectivity
on the spatial ecology of the root vole (Microtus oeconomus). Journal
of Animal Ecology 67:127-141. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Stenseth,
N. C., Saitoh, T. and Lingjære, O. C. (1998) Mapping regional transitions
in dynamics of Clethrionomys rufocanus: spectral densities and
functional analysis. Researches on Population Ecology 40:77-84. [abstract] [preprint
0.2Mb][reprint 7.2Mb]
- Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad,
O. N. and Saitoh, T. (1998) Seasonal Forcing on the Dynamics of Clethrionomys
rufocanus: Modeling the Geographic Gradient in Population Dynamics. Researches
on Population Ecology 40:85-95. [abstract]
[preprint 0.2Mb][reprint 9Mb] [commentary]
- Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C.
and Bjørnstad, O. N. The Population Dynamics of the Grey-sided Vole in
Hokkaido, Japan. Researches on Population Ecology 40:61-76. [abstract] [preprint 0.3Mb]
[reprint 13Mb] [commentary]
- Kaneko, Y., Nakata, K.,
Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C. and Bjørnstad, O. N. (1998) The biology of the
grey-sided vole: a review. Researches on Population Ecology 40:21-37.
[abstract] [pdf]
- Framstad, E., Stenseth, N.
C., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Falck, W. (1997) Limit cycles in Norwegian
Lemmings: tensions between phase-dependence and density-dependence. Proceedings
of Royal Society London, B. 264:31-38. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb] [economy
pdf 0.4Mb]
- Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C.
and Bjørnstad, O.N. (1997) Density dependence in fluctuating grey-sided
vole populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 66:14-24. [abstract] [pdf
1.8Mb] [economy pdf 0.5Mb]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Champely,
S., Stenseth, N. C. and Saitoh, T. (1996) Cyclicity and stability of
grey-sided voles, Clethrionomys rufocanus, of Hokkaido: spectral
and Principal components analyses. Philosophical Transactions of the
Royal Society London Series B 351:867-875. [abstract]
[pdf 1.5Mb] [economy
pdf 0.4Mb]
- Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad,
O.N. and Falck, W. (1996) Is spacing behaviour coupled with predation
causing the microtine density cycle? A synthesis of current
process-oriented and pattern-oriented studies. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 263:1423-1435. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad,
O.N. and Saitoh, T. (1996) A gradient from stable to cyclic populations of
Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 263:1117-1126. [abstract]
[pdf 1.7Mb] [economy pdf 0.5Mb] [commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Falck, W.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) A geographic gradient in small rodent density
fluctuations: a statistical modelling approach. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 262:127-133. [abstract]
[pdf 1.3Mb] [economy pdf 0.4Mb]
- Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Bootstrap estimated uncertainty of the dominant
Lyapunov exponent for Holarctic microtine rodents. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 261:159-165. [abstract]
[pdf 1.2Mb] [economy
0.4Mb]
- Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Voles and lemmings - chaos and uncertainty in
fluctuating populations. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B.
262:363-370. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb][economy
0.4Mb] [commentary]
INSECT DYNAMICS
- Tobin, P.C., Robinet, C.,
Johnson, D.M., Whitmire, S.L., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2009.
The role of Allee effects in gypsy moth, Lymantria dispar (L.), invasions.
Population Ecology 51: 373-384. [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Liebhold,
A.M. and Johnson, D.M. 2008. Transient synchronization following invasion:
revisiting Moran’s model and a case study. Population Ecology 50: 379-389.
[pdf]
- Yamanaka, T., Tanaka, K,,
Hamasaki, K., Nakatani, Y., Iwasaki, N., Sprague, D.S. and Bjørnstad, O.N.
2009. Evaluating the relative importance of patch quality and connectivity
in a damselfly metapopulation from a one-season survey. Oikos 118:67-76. [pdf]
- Yamanaka, T., Tanaka, K.
Otuka, A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2007. Detecting spatial structures and
interactions in the ragweed (Ambrosia artemissifolia L.) and the ragweed beetle
(Ophraella communa LeSage) populations. [abstract][pdf]
- Tobin, P.C., Whitmire, S.,
Johnson, D.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2007. Invasion speed is
affected by geographic variation in the strength of Allee effects. Ecology
Letters 10:36-43. [abstract] [pdf]
- Johnson,
D.M., Liebhold, A.M., Tobin, P.C and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Allee effects
and pulsed invasion by the gypsy moth. Nature 444: 361-363. [abstract] [pdf]
[supplement]
- Johnson,
D.M., Liebhold, A.M. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Geographical variation in
the periodicity of gypsy moth outbreaks. Ecography 29:367-374. [abstract] [pdf]
- Liebhold,
A.M, Johnson, D.M. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Geographic variation in
density-dependent dynamics impacts the synchronizing effect of dispersal
and regional stochasticity. Population Ecology 48:131-138. [abstract][pdf]
- Johnson,
D.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2006. Landscape mosaic induces
traveling waves of insect outbreaks. Oecologia 148: 51-60. [abstract] [pdf]
- Økland,
B., and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. A resource depletion model of forest insect
outbreaks. Ecology 87: 283-290. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Tobin,
P.C. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Roles of dispersal, stochasticity, and
nonlinear dynamics in the spatial structuring of seasonal natural
enemy-victim populations. Population Ecology 47:221-227. [abstract] [pdf]
- Økland,
B., Liebhold, A.M, Bjørnstad, O.N., Erbilgin, N. and Krokene, P. 2005. Are
bark beetle outbreaks less synchronous than forest Lepidoptera outbreaks?
Oecologia 146:365-372. [abstract] [pdf]
- Johnson,
D.M., Liebhold, A.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and McManus, M.L. 2005. Circumpolar
variation in periodicity and synchrony among gypsy moth populations.
Journal of Animal Ecology 74:882-892 [abstract]
[pdf]
- Satake,
A., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Kobro. S. 2004. Masting and trophic cascades:
interplay between rowan trees, apple fruit moth, and their parasitoid in
southern Norway. Oikos 104: 540-550.
[abstract] [pdf]
- Satake,
A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2004. Spatial dynamics of seed predators on
synchronized and intermittent seed production of host plants. American
Naturalist 163: 591-605. [abstract] [pdf]
- Økland, B. and Bjørnstad, O. N. (2003) Synchrony and geographical
variation of the spruce bark beetle (Ips typographus) during a
non-epidemic period. Population Ecology 45: 213-219 [abstract] [pdf].
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Peltonen,
M., Liebhold, A.M. & Baltensweiler, W. (2002) Waves of larch budmoth
outbreaks in the European alps. Science 298: 1020-1023. [abstract
& pdf] [full-text
(html)] [mirrored abstract] [mirrored pdf] [supplement] [commentary]
- Peltonen, M., Liebhold,
A.M., Bjørnstad, O.N., & Williams, D.W. (2002) Variation in spatial
synchrony among forest insect species: roles of regional stochasticity and
dispersal. Ecology 83: 3120-3129 [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N. &
Bascompte, J. (2001) Synchrony and second order spatial correlation in
host-parasitoid systems. Journal of Animal Ecology 70: 924-933. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Sait, S.M.,
Stenseth, N.C., Thompson, D.J. & Begon, M. (2001) The impact of
specialised enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 401:
1001-1006. [abstract] [pdf] [Supplement]
[Splus code] [Commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Begon, M.,
Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W., Sait, S. M. and Thompson, D. J. (1998)
Population dynamics of the Indian meal moth: demographic stochasticity and
delayed regulatory mechanisms. Journal of Animal Ecology 67:110-126.
[abstract] [pdf]
FISH DYNAMICS
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Nisbet,
R. M. and Fromentin, J.-M. 2004. Trends and cohort resonant effects in
age-structured populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 73: 1157-1167 [abstract] [pdf] [mathematica supplement]
- Fromentin, J.-M.,
Bjørnstad, O.N., Stenseth, N.C. and Gjøsæter, J. (2002) Dynamics of the Norwegian
Skagerrak cod: intuition vs inference. Marine Ecological Progress Series
241: 231-234. [pdf] [commentary]
- Fromentin, J.-M., Myers, R.
A., Bjørnstad, O. N., Stenseth, N. C., Gjøsæter, J. & Christie, H.
(2001) Population regulation in cod along the Norwegian Skagerrak coast. Ecology
82: 567-579. [abstract] [pdf]
- Fromentin, J.-M., Gjøsæter,
J., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Stenseth, N. C. (2000) Biological processes and
environmental factors regulating the temporal dynamics of the Norwegian
Skagerrak cod since 1919. ICES Journal of Marine Science 57:
330-338. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Fromentin,
J.-M., Stenseth, N.C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) A new test for
density-dependent survival: the case of coastal cod populations Ecology
80:1278-1288. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N.,
Fromentin, J.-M., Stenseth, N. C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) Cycles and
trends in cod population. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Science USA 96:5066-5071. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Frometin, J.-M., Stenseth,
N. C., Gjøsæter, J., Bjørnstad, O.N., Falck, W. and Johannesen, T. (1997)
Spatial patterns of the temporal dynamics of three Gadoid species along
the Norwegian Skagerrak coast. Marine Ecological Progress Series
155:209-222. [abstract] [pdf]
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
- Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F.,
Conlan, A.J.K., Bharti, N., Bjornstad, O.N., Wolfson, L.J., Guerin, P.J.,
Djibo, A. and Grenfell, B.T. 2008. Seasonality, stochasticity and the
dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature 451: 679-684. [abstract][pdf][supplement]
- Ferrari, M. J. Bjørnstad, O.
N. and Dobson, A.P. 2005. Estimation and inference for R0 of an infectious
pathogen using a removal method. Mathematical Bioscience 198: 14-26. [abstract][pdf]
- Xia, Y., Bjørnstad, O. N.
and Grenfell, B. T. 2004. Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model
for pre-vaccination epidemiological coupling and dynamics. American
Naturalist 164: 267-281. [abstract] [pdf] [news@nature.com]
- Clark, J. S. and Bjørnstad,
O. N. 2004. Population inference from messy data: errors, missing and
hidden states, and lagged responses. Ecology 85: 3140–3150. [abstract] [pdf]
[appendix]Satake, A., Bjørnstad, O.N. and
Kobro. S. 2004. Masting and trophic cascades: interplay between rowan
trees, apple fruit moth, and their parasitoid in southern Norway. Oikos 104: 540-550. [abstract] [pdf]
- Rees, M., Kelly, D. &
Bjørnstad, O.N. (2002) Snow tussocks, chaos and the evolution of mast
seeding. American Naturalist 160: 44-59. [abstract] [pdf]
[commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N.,
Finkenstädt, B. & Grenfell, B.T. (2002) Endemic and epidemic dynamics
of measles: Estimating epidemiological scaling with a time series SIR
model. Ecological Monographs 72: 169-184. [abstract] [pdf] [download data]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
O.N., & Finkenstädt, B. & (2002) Endemic and epidemic dynamics
of measles: Scaling predictability, noise and determinism with the time
series SIR model. Ecological Monographs 72: 185-202. [abstract] [pdf] [download data]
- Finkenstädt, B., Bjørnstad,
O.N. & Grenfell, B.T. (2002) A stochastic model for extinction and
recurrence of epidemics: estimation and inference for measles outbreaks. Biostatistics
3: 493-510. [abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N. &
Grenfell, B.T. (2001) Noisy clockwork: time series analysis of population
fluctuations in animals. Science 293: 638-643. [abstract
& pdf] [full-text
(html)] [Supplement] [mirrored pdf] [mirrored
supplement]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Sait, S.M.,
Stenseth, N.C., Thompson, D.J. & Begon, M. (2001) The impact of
specialised enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 401:
1001-1006. [abstract] [pdf] [Supplement]
[Splus code] [Commentary]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
O.N., & Kappey, J. (2001) Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in
measles epidemics. Nature 414: 716-723. [abstract]
[pdf] [quicktime
movie] [supplement] [Commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Fromentin,
J.-M., Stenseth, N.C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) A new test for density-dependent
survival: the case of coastal cod populations Ecology 80:1278-1288.
[abstract] [pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O. N., Fromentin,
J.-M., Stenseth, N. C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) Cycles and trends in cod
population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA
96:5066-5071. [abstract] [pdf]
- Saitoh, T., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1999) Density-dependence in voles and mice: a
comparative analysis. Ecology 80:638-650. [abstract] [pdf]
- Stenseth, N.C., Bjørnstad,
O.N., Falck, W., Fromentin, J.-M., Gjøsæter, J., and Gray, J.S. (1999)
Dynamics of coastal cod populations: intra- and inter-cohort
density-dependence and stochastic processes. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B 266:1645-1654. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Begon, M.,
Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W., Sait, S. M. and Thompson, D. J. (1998)
Population dynamics of the Indian meal moth: demographic stochasticity and
delayed regulatory mechanisms. Journal of Animal Ecology
67:110-126. [abstract] [pdf]
- Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C.
and Bjørnstad, O. N. The Population Dynamics of the Grey-sided Vole in
Hokkaido, Japan. Researches on Population Ecology 40:61-76. [abstract] [preprint 0.3Mb]
[reprint 13Mb] [commentary]
- Kendall, B. E., Prendergast,
J. and Bjørnstad, O. N. (1998) The macroecology of population dynamics:
animal population cycles in the Northern hemisphere. Ecology Letters 1:160-164.
[abstract] [pdf]
[supplement].
- Stenseth, N.C., Falck, W., Chan,
K.-C., Bjørnstad, O.N., Tong, H., O'Donoghue, M., Boonstra, R., Boutin,
S., Krebs, C. J. and Yoccoz, N. G. (1998) From pattern to process: phase-
and density-dependence in the canadian lynx cycle. Proceedings of the
National Academy of Science USA 95:15430-15435. [abstract] [pdf]
- Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W.,
Bjørnstad, O.N. and Krebs, C. J. (1997) Population regulation in snowshoe
hare and lynx populations: asymmetric food web configurations between the
snowshoe hare and the lynx. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Science USA 94:5147-5152. [abstract]
[pdf]
- Framstad, E., Stenseth, N.
C., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Falck, W. (1997) Limit cycles in Norwegian
Lemmings: tensions between phase-dependence and density-dependence. Proceedings
of Royal Society London, B. 264:31-38. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb] [economy
pdf 0.4Mb]
- Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C.
and Bjørnstad, O.N. (1997) Density dependence in fluctuating grey-sided
vole populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 66:14-24. [abstract] [pdf
1.8Mb] [economy pdf 0.5Mb]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Champely,
S., Stenseth, N. C. and Saitoh, T. (1996) Cyclicity and stability of
grey-sided voles, Clethrionomys rufocanus, of Hokkaido: spectral
and Principal components analyses. Philosophical Transactions of the
Royal Society London Series B 351:867-875. [abstract]
[pdf 1.5Mb] [economy
pdf 0.4Mb]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Falck, W.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) A geographic gradient in small rodent density
fluctuations: a statistical modelling approach. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 262:127-133. [abstract]
[pdf 1.3Mb] [economy pdf 0.4Mb]
- Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Bootstrap estimated uncertainty of the dominant
Lyapunov exponent for Holarctic microtine rodents. Proceedings of Royal
Society London, B. 261:159-165. [abstract]
[pdf 1.2Mb] [economy
0.4Mb]
- Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N.
and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Voles and lemmings - chaos and uncertainty in
fluctuating populations. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B.
262:363-370. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb][economy
0.4Mb] [commentary]
SPATIAL STATISTICS
- Bjørnstad, O.N. and Grenfell,
B.T. 2008. Hazards, spatial transmission and timing of outbreaks in
epidemic metapopulations. Environmental and Ecological Statistics
15: 265-277. [pdf]
- Humston, R., Mortensen, D.
and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Anthropogenic forcing on the spatial dynamics of
an agricultural weed: the case of the common sunflower. Journal of Applied
Ecology 42: 863-872. [abstract] [pdf]
- Seabloom, E.W., Bjørnstad,
O.N., Bolker, B.M. and Reichman, O.J. 2005. The spatial signature of environmental
heterogeneity, dispersal, and competition in successional grasslands.
Ecological Monographs 75: 199-214. [abstract][pdf]
- Liebhold, A., Walter, D. K.
and Bjørnstad, O. N. 2004. Spatial synchrony in population dynamics.
Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 35: 467-490. [abstract] [pdf] [supplemental movie]
- Bjørnstad, O.N., Peltonen,
M., Liebhold, A.M. & Baltensweiler, W. (2002) Waves of larch budmoth
outbreaks in the European alps. Science 298: 1020-1023. [abstract
& pdf] [full-text
(html)] [mirrored abstract] [mirrored pdf] [supplement] [commentary]
- Bjørnstad, O. N. and Falck, W.
(2001) Spatial covariance functions: estimation and testing. Environmental
and Ecological Statistics 8: 53-70. [abstract]
[pdf] [Splus code]
- Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad,
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[pdf] [quicktime
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[Commentary]
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