[Home]

        If you have problems downloading: Email me

            International publications -- BY YEAR:
                    (Note: all preprints are pdf's -  If you can't read pdf-files go here.).

                [Listing by YEAR] [Listing by TOPIC]

  1. Cornell, S.J., Bjornstad, O.N., Cattadori, I.M., Boag, B. and Hudson, P.J.  2008. Seasonality, cohort-dependence and the development of immunity in a natural host-nematode system. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B 275: 511-518. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement]
  2. Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F., Conlan, A.J.K., Bharti, N., Bjornstad, O.N., Wolfson, L.J., Guerin, P.J., Djibo, A. and Grenfell, B.T. 2008. Seasonality, stochasticity and the dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature 451: 679-684. [abstract][pdf][supplement]
  3. Pomeroy, L.W., Bjornstad, O.N. and Holmes, E.C. 2008. The evolutionary and epidemiological dynamics of the Paramyxoviridae. Journal of Molecular Evolution 66:98-106 [abstract][pdf]
  4. Satake, A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2008. A resource budget model to explain intraspecific variation in mast reproductive dynamics. Ecological research 23: 3-10. [abstract][pdf]
  5. Grais, R.F., Conlan, A.J.K., Ferrari, M.J., Djibo, A., Le Menach, A., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Grenfell, B.T., 2008. Time is of the essence: Exploring a measles outbreak response vaccination in Niamey, Niger. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 5:67-74. [abstract][pdf]
  6. Wolfe, D.N., Goebel, E.M., Bjornstad, O.N., Restif, O. and Harvill, E.T. 2007. O-antigen enables Bordetella parapertussis to avoid Bordetella pertussis-Induced Immunity. Infection and Immunity 75: 4972-4979. [abstract][pdf]
  7. Graham, A.L., Cattadori, I.M., Lloyd-Smith, J.O, Ferrari, M.J. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2007. Transmission consequences of coinfection: cytokines writ large? Trends in Parasitology 23: 284-291. [abstract] [pdf]
  8. Yamanaka, T., Tanaka, K. Otuka, A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2007. Detecting spatial structures and interactions in the ragweed (Ambrosia artemissifolia L.) and the ragweed beetle (Ophraella communa LeSage) populations. [abstract][pdf]
  9. Viboud, C., Miller, M.A., Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Simonsen, L. 2006. Air Travel and the Spread of Influenza: Important Caveats. PLoS Medicine 3: 2159-2960. [abstract] [pdf]
  10. Tobin, P.C., Whitmire, S., Johnson, D.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2007. Invasion speed is affected by geographic variation in the strength of Allee effects. Ecology Letters 10:36-43. [abstract] [pdf]
  11. Johnson, D.M., Liebhold, A.M., Tobin, P.C and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Allee effects and pulsed invasion by the gypsy moth. Nature 444: 361-363. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement]
  12. Ferrari, M., Bjørnstad, O.N., Partain, J. and Antonovics, J. 2006. A gravity model for the spread of a pollinator-borne plant pathogen. American Naturalist 168: 294-303. [abstract] [pdf]
  13. Grais, R.F., Ferrari, M.J., Dubraya, C., Bjørnstad, O.N., Grenfell, B.T., Djiboc, A., Fermond, F. and Guerina, P. J. 2006. Estimating transmission intensity for a measles epidemic in Niamey, Niger: lessons for intervention. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 100: 867-873. [abstract] [pdf]
  14. Ferrari, M.J., Bansal, S., Myers, L.A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Network frailty and the geometry of herd immunity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B 273:2743-2748. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement] [movie]
  15. Viboud, C., Bjørnstad, O.N., Smith, D.L., Simonsen, L., Miller, M.A. and Grenfell, B.T. 2006. Synchrony, waves and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza. Science 312: 447-451. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement] [comment]
  16. Johnson, D.M., Liebhold, A.M. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2006. Geographical variation in the periodicity of gypsy moth outbreaks. Ecography 29:367-374. [abstract] [pdf]
  17. Grenfell, B.T., Williams, C.S., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Banavar, J.R. 2006. Simplifying biological complexity. Nature Physics 2: 212-214. [abstract][pdf]
  18. Johnson, D.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Liebhold, A.M. 2006. Landscape mosaic induces traveling waves of insect outbreaks. Oecologia 148: 51-60. [abstract] [pdf]
  19. Liebhold, A.M, Johnson, D.M. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Geographic variation in density-dependent dynamics impacts the synchronizing effect of dispersal and regional stochasticity. Population Ecology 48:131-138. [abstract][pdf]
  20. Økland, B., and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. A resource depletion model of forest insect outbreaks. Ecology 87: 283-290. [abstract] [pdf]
  21. Kirimanjeswara, G.S., Agosto, L.M., Kennett, M.J., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Harvill, E.T. 2005. Pertussis toxin inhibits neutrophil recruitment to delay antibody-mediated clearance of Bordetella pertussis. Journal of Clinical Investigation 115: 3594-3601. [abstract] [pdf]
  22. Tobin, P.C. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Roles of dispersal, stochasticity, and nonlinear dynamics in the spatial structuring of seasonal natural enemy-victim populations. Population Ecology 47:221-227. [abstract] [pdf]
  23. Økland, B., Liebhold, A.M, Bjørnstad, O.N., Erbilgin, N. and Krokene, P. 2005. Are bark beetle outbreaks less synchronous than forest Lepidoptera outbreaks? Oecologia 146:365-372. [abstract] [pdf]
  24. Humston, R., Mortensen, D. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Anthropogenic forcing on the spatial dynamics of an agricultural weed: the case of the common sunflower. Journal of Applied Ecology 42: 863-872. [abstract] [pdf]
  25. Cattadori, I.M., Boag, B., Bjørnstad, O.N., Cornell, S.J. and Hudson, P.J. 2005. Peak shift and epidemiology in a seasonal host-nematode system. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B 272: 1163-1169. [abstract] [pdf]
  26. Ferrari, M. J. Bjørnstad, O. N. and Dobson, A.P. 2005. Estimation and inference for R0 of an infectious pathogen using a removal method. Mathematical Bioscience 198: 14-26. [abstract] [pdf]
  27. Johnson, D.M., Liebhold, A.M., Bjørnstad, O.N. and McManus, M.L. 2005. Circumpolar variation in periodicity and synchrony among gypsy moth populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 74:882-892 [abstract] [pdf]
  28. Bjørnstad, O.N. and Harvill, E.T. 2005. Evolution and emergence of Bordetella in humans. Trends in Microbiology 13: 355-359 [abstract][pdf preprint]
  29. Seabloom, E.W., Bjørnstad, O.N., Bolker, B.M. and Reichman, O.J. 2005. The spatial signature of environmental heterogeneity, dispersal, and competition in successional grasslands. Ecological Monographs 75: 199-214. [abstract][pdf]
  30. Grenfell, B.T. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2005. Sexually transmitted diseases: Epidemic cycling and immunity. Nature 433: 366-367. [pdf] [grassly et al]
  31. Zhou, G., Sirichaisinthop, J., Sattabongkot, J., Jones, J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Yan, G. and Cui, L. 2005. Spatio-temporal distribution of falciparum and vivax malaria in Thailand. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 72: 256-262. [abstract] [pdf]
  32. Bjørnstad, O. N., Nisbet, R. M. and Fromentin, J.-M. 2004. Trends and cohort resonant effects in age-structured populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 73: 1157-1167 [abstract] [pdf] [mathematica supplement]
  33. Johnson, D. M., Bjørnstad, O. N. and Liebhold, A. M. 2004. Landscape geometry and traveling waves in the larch budmoth. Ecology Letters 7: 967-974. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement]
  34. Liebhold, A., Walter, D. K. and Bjørnstad, O. N. 2004. Spatial synchrony in population dynamics. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 35: 467-490.  [abstract] [pdf] [supplemental movie]
  35. Xia, Y., Bjørnstad, O. N. and Grenfell, B. T. 2004. Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model for pre-vaccination epidemiological coupling and dynamics. American Naturalist 164: 267-281. [abstract] [pdf] [news@nature.com]
  36. Satake, A., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Kobro. S. 2004. Masting and trophic cascades: interplay between rowan trees, apple fruit moth, and their parasitoid in southern Norway. Oikos 104: 540-550. [abstract] [pdf]
  37. Satake, A. and Bjørnstad, O.N. 2004. Spatial dynamics of seed predators on synchronized and intermittent seed production of host plants. American Naturalist 163: 591-605. [abstract] [pdf]
  38. Liebhold, A., Sork, V., Peltonen, M., Koenig, W., Bjørnstad, O.N., Westfall, R., Elkinton, J., & Knops, J.M.H. 2004. Within-population spatial synchrony in mast seeding of North American oaks. Oikos 104: 156-164. [abstract][pdf]
  39. Clark, J. S. and Bjørnstad, O. N. 2004. Population inference from messy data: errors, missing and hidden states, and lagged responses. Ecology 85: 3140–3150. [abstract] [pdf] [appendix]
  40. Økland, B. and Bjørnstad, O. N. (2003) Synchrony and geographical variation of the spruce bark beetle (Ips typographus) during a non-epidemic period. Population Ecology 45: 213-219 [abstract] [pdf].
  41. Hudson, P.J. & Bjørnstad, O.N. (2003) Vole stranglers and lemmings cycles. Science 302: 797-798. [pdf] [Gilg et  al].
  42. Tobin, P. C.  & Bjørnstad, O.N. (2003)  Spatial dynamics and cross-correlation in a transient predator-prey system. Journal of Animal Ecology 72: 460-467. [abstract][pdf]
  43. Bjørnstad, O.N., Peltonen, M., Liebhold, A.M. & Baltensweiler, W. (2002) Waves of larch budmoth outbreaks in the European alps. Science 298: 1020-1023. [abstract & pdf] [full-text (html)] [mirrored abstract] [mirrored pdf] [supplement] [commentary]
  44. Bjørnstad, O.N., Finkenstädt, B. & Grenfell, B.T. (2002) Endemic and epidemic dynamics of measles: Estimating epidemiological scaling with a time series SIR model. Ecological Monographs 72: 169-184.  [abstract] [pdf] [download data]
  45. Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad, O.N., & Finkenstädt, B.  (2002) Endemic and epidemic dynamics of measles: Scaling predictability, noise and determinism with the time series SIR model. Ecological Monographs 72: 185-202.  [abstract] [pdf] [download data]
  46. Finkenstädt, B., Bjørnstad, O.N. & Grenfell, B.T. (2002) A stochastic model for extinction and recurrence of epidemics: estimation and inference for measles outbreaks. Biostatistics 3: 493-510. [abstract] [pdf]
  47. Fromentin, J.-M., Bjørnstad, O.N., Stenseth, N.C. and Gjøsæter, J. 2002. Dynamics of the Norwegian Skagerrak cod: intuition vs inference. Marine Ecological Progress Series 241: 231-234. [pdf] [commentary]
  48. Keitt, T.H. , Bjørnstad, O.N., Dixon, P., & Citron-Pousty, S. (2002) Accounting for spatial pattern when modeling organism-environment interactions. Ecography 25: 616-625 [abstract] [pdf]
  49. Rees, M., Kelly, D. & Bjørnstad, O.N. (2002) Snow tussocks, chaos and the evolution of mast seeding. American Naturalist 160: 44-59. [abstract] [pdf] [commentary]
  50. Peltonen, M., Liebhold, A.M., Bjørnstad, O.N., & Williams, D.W. (2002) Variation in spatial synchrony among forest insect species: roles of regional stochasticity and dispersal. Ecology 83: 3120-3129 [abstract] [pdf]
  51. Bjørnstad, O.N. & Grenfell, B.T. (2001) Noisy clockwork: time series analysis of population fluctuations in animals. Science 293: 638-643. [abstract & pdf] [full-text (html)] [Supplement] [mirrored pdf] [mirrored supplement]
  52. Bjørnstad, O.N., Sait, S.M., Stenseth, N.C., Thompson, D.J. & Begon, M. (2001) The impact of specialised enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 401: 1001-1006.  [abstract] [pdf] [Supplement] [Splus code]   [Commentary]
  53. Bjørnstad, O. N. & Bascompte, J. (2001) Synchrony and second order spatial correlation in host-parasitoid systems. Journal of Animal Ecology 70: 924-933. [abstract] [pdf]
  54. Bjørnstad, O. N. and Falck, W. (2001) Spatial covariance functions: estimation and testing. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 8: 53-70. [abstract] [pdf] [Splus code]
  55. Grenfell, B.T., Bjørnstad, O.N., & Kappey, J. (2001) Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in measles epidemics. Nature 414: 716-723. [abstract] [pdf] [quicktime movie] [supplement]    [Commentary]
  56. Fromentin, J.-M., Myers, R. A., Bjørnstad, O. N., Stenseth, N. C., Gjøsæter, J. & Christie, H. (2001) Population regulation in cod along the Norwegian Skagerrak coast. Ecology 82: 567-579. [abstract] [pdf]
  57. Bjørnstad, O.N. 2001. Solving seasonla puzzles. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 16:85-86. [pdf]
  58. Bjørnstad, O.N. 2001. Chitty cycles - at last! Trends in Ecology and Evolution 16:72. [pdf]
  59. Bjørnstad, O.N. 2001. Trading space for time in population dynamics. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 16:124. [pdf]
  60. Bjørnstad, O.N. and Bolker, B. (2000) Canonical functions for dispersal-induced synchrony.  Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 267: 1787-1794.[abstract] [pdf]
  61. Bjørnstad, O. N. (2000) Cycles and synchrony: two historical ‘experiments’ and one experience. Journal of Animal Ecology 69: 869-873. [abstract] [pdf] [erratum]
  62. Kendall, B. E., Bjørnstad, O. N., Bascompte, J., Keitt, T.H. and Fagan, W. (2000) Ecological interactions, environmental correlation and spatial synchrony. American Naturalist, 155: 628-636.  [abstract] [pdf]
  63. Fromentin, J.-M., Gjøsæter, J., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Stenseth, N. C. (2000) Biological processes and environmental factors regulating the temporal dynamics of the Norwegian Skagerrak cod since 1919. ICES Journal of Marine Science 57: 330-338.  [abstract] [pdf]
  64. Childs, J.E. , Curns, A., Dey, M., Real, L.A. , Feinstein, L., Bjørnstad, O.N. & Krebs, J.W. (2000) Predicting the local dynamics of epizootic rabies among raccoons in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA 97: 13666-13671 [abstract] [pdf][Commentary]
  65. Bjørnstad, O. N., Ims, R. A. and Lambin, X. (1999) Spatial population dynamics: Causes and consequences of spatial synchrony in density fluctuations. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 14:427-431. [abstract]  [pdf] [Splus code]
  66. Bjørnstad, O.N., Fromentin, J.-M., Stenseth, N.C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) A new test for density-dependent survival: the case of coastal cod populations Ecology 80:1278-1288. [abstract] [pdf]
  67. Bjørnstad, O. N., Fromentin, J.-M., Stenseth, N. C. and Gjøsæter, J. (1999) Cycles and trends in cod population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA 96:5066-5071. [abstract] [pdf]
  68. Bjørnstad, O.N., Stenseth, N. C. and Saitoh,T. (1999) Synchrony and scaling in dynamics of voles and mice in northern Japan. Ecology 80:622-637. [abstract] [pdf] [Splus code]
  69. Saitoh, T., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Stenseth, N. C. (1999) Density-dependence in voles and mice: a comparative analysis. Ecology80:638-650. [abstract] [pdf]
  70. Stenseth, N.C., Bjørnstad, O.N., Falck, W., Fromentin, J.-M., Gjøsæter, J., and Gray, J.S. (1999) Dynamics of coastal cod populations: intra- and inter-cohort density-dependence and stochastic processes. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 266:1645-1654. [abstract] [pdf]
  71. Micheli, F., Cottingham, K. L., Bascompte, J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Eckert, G. L., Fischer, J. M., Keitt, T. H., Kendall, B. E., Klug, J. L. and Rusak, J. A. (1999) The dual nature of community variability. Oikos 85:161-169. [abstract] [pdf]
  72. Bjørnstad, O.N., Begon, M., Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W., Sait, S. M. and Thompson, D. J. (1998) Population dynamics of the Indian meal moth: demographic stochasticity and delayed regulatory mechanisms. Journal of Animal Ecology 67:110-126. [abstract] [pdf]
  73. Bjørnstad, O.N., Andreassen, H. P. and Ims, R. A. (1998) Effects of habitat patchiness and connectivity on the spatial ecology of the root vole (Microtus oeconomus). Journal of Animal Ecology 67:127-141. [abstract] [pdf]
  74. Bjørnstad, O. N., Stenseth, N. C., Saitoh, T. and Lingjære, O. C. (1998) Mapping regional transitions in dynamics of Clethrionomys rufocanus: spectral densities and functional analysis. Researches on Population Ecology 40:77-84. [abstract] [preprint 0.2Mb][reprint 7.2Mb]
  75. Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad, O. N. and Saitoh, T. (1998) Seasonal Forcing on the Dynamics of Clethrionomys rufocanus: Modeling the Geographic Gradient in Population Dynamics. Researches on Population Ecology 40:85-95. [abstract] [preprint 0.2Mb][reprint 9Mb] [commentary]
  76. Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C. and Bjørnstad, O. N. The Population Dynamics of the Grey-sided Vole in Hokkaido, Japan. Researches on Population Ecology 40:61-76. [abstract] [preprint 0.3Mb] [reprint 13Mb] [commentary]
  77. Kendall, B. E., Prendergast, J. and Bjørnstad, O. N. (1998) The macroecology of population dynamics: animal population cycles in the Northern hemisphere. Ecology Letters 1:160-164. [abstract] [pdf] [supplement].
  78. Stenseth, N.C., Falck, W., Chan, K.-C., Bjørnstad, O.N., Tong, H., O'Donoghue, M., Boonstra, R., Boutin, S., Krebs, C. J. and Yoccoz, N. G. (1998) From pattern to process: phase- and density-dependence in the canadian lynx cycle. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA 95:15430-15435. [abstract] [pdf]
  79. Kaneko, Y., Nakata, K., Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C. and Bjørnstad, O. N. (1998) The biology of the grey-sided vole: a review. Researches on Population Ecology 40:21-37. [abstract] [pdf]
  80. Stenseth, N. C., Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Krebs, C. J. (1997) Population regulation in snowshoe hare and lynx populations: asymmetric food web configurations between the snowshoe hare and the lynx. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA 94:5147-5152. [abstract] [pdf]
  81. Framstad, E., Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Falck, W. (1997) Limit cycles in Norwegian Lemmings: tensions between phase-dependence and density-dependence. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 264:31-38. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb] [economy pdf 0.4Mb]
  82. Saitoh, T., Stenseth, N. C. and Bjørnstad, O.N. (1997) Density dependence in fluctuating grey-sided vole populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 66:14-24. [abstract] [pdf 1.8Mb] [economy pdf 0.5Mb]
  83. Frometin, J.-M., Stenseth, N. C., Gjøsæter, J., Bjørnstad, O.N., Falck, W. and Johannesen, T. (1997) Spatial patterns of the temporal dynamics of three Gadoid species along the Norwegian Skagerrak coast. Marine Ecological Progress Series, 155:209-222. [abstract] [pdf]
  84. Bjørnstad, O.N., Champely, S., Stenseth, N. C. and Saitoh, T. (1996) Cyclicity and stability of grey-sided voles, Clethrionomys rufocanus, of Hokkaido: spectral and Principal components analyses. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society London Series B 351:867-875. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb] [economy pdf 0.4Mb] [commentary]
  85. Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Falck, W. (1996) Is spacing behaviour coupled with predation causing the microtine density cycle? A synthesis of current process-oriented and pattern-oriented studies. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 263:1423-1435. [abstract] [pdf 2.3Mb] [economy pdf 0.6Mb]
  86. Stenseth, N. C., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Saitoh, T. (1996) A gradient from stable to cyclic populations of Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 263:1117-1126. [abstract] [pdf 1.7Mb] [economy pdf 0.5Mb] [commentary]
  87. Bjørnstad, O.N., Falck, W. and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) A geographic gradient in small rodent density fluctuations: a statistical modelling approach. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 262:127-133. [abstract] [pdf 1.3Mb] [economy pdf 0.4Mb]
  88. Bjørnstad, O.N., Iversen, A. and Hansen, M. (1995) The spatial structure of the gene pool of a viviparous population ofPoa alpina - environmental controls and spatial constraints. Nordic Journal of Botany 15:347-354. [abstract] [pdf]
  89. Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Bootstrap estimated uncertainty of the dominant Lyapunov exponent for Holarctic microtine rodents. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 261:159-165. [abstract] [pdf 1.2Mb] [economy 0.4Mb]
  90. Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N. and Stenseth, N. C. (1995) Voles and lemmings - chaos and uncertainty in fluctuating populations. Proceedings of Royal Society London, B. 262:363-370. [abstract] [pdf 1.5Mb] [economy 0.4Mb] [commentary]
  91. Bjørnstad, O.N. and Hansen, T. F. (1994) Individual variation and population dynamics. Oikos 69:167-171. [abstract] [pdf]
  92. Bjørnstad, O.N. (1991) Changes in forest soils and vegetation in Søgne, southern Norway, during a 20 year period. Holarctic Ecology 14:234-244. [abstract]

 

Book chapters & Miscellanea: